2024 NCAA Men's Swimming and Diving Championships
The first day is in the books, and it was a roller-coaster ride.
With just two events — the 200 medley and 800 freestyle relay — we've already seen records fall at the NCAA, meet, US Championships and US Open. In both events, the top-seeded Arizona State Sun Devils were upset. Although relay swimming, by itself, is not a huge indicator of what to expect at a meet, it can be an indicator of larger trends.
Texas finished the first day with 14 more points than expected, thanks to the 800 free relay that placed third from the second-to-last heat. Missouri State, Stanford and Florida also outperformed by double digits. Auburn, Arizona and Arizona State were all under double digits.
Arizona State still leads the forecast by 101 points (before diving), while Florida State still has a 139-point margin ahead of Cal State and NC State. But if tonight's performance is any indication of what to expect in the coming days, this could be a much closer — and more exciting — team race than we expected.
Day 1 Performance for seeds
| a team | Result for seeds |
| Texas | 14 |
| Missouri | 12 |
| Stanford | 10 |
| Florida State | 10 |
| Cal | 8 |
| Michigan | 6 |
| Indiana | 4 |
| Texas A&M | 4 |
| Florida | 2 |
| Virginia Tech University | 2 |
| SMU | 2 |
| North Carolina | 2 |
| North Carolina State | -2 |
| Tennessee | -2 |
| Louisville | -2 |
| Alabama | -2 |
| Ohio State | -4 |
| Georgia | -8 |
| Reddish brown | -10 |
| Arizona State | -12 |
| Arizona | -12 |
Over/under 200 medley sequences
| a team | Psychological | finals | Teams vs. seeds |
| Cal | 32 | 30 | -2 |
| Florida | 34 | 40 | 6 |
| Arizona State | 40 | 34 | -6 |
| Indiana | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| North Carolina State | 28 | 32 | 4 |
| Texas | 24 | 18 | -6 |
| Stanford | 8 | 24 | 16 |
| Georgia | 10 | 6 | -4 |
| Reddish brown | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| Tennessee | 30 | 28 | -2 |
| Virginia Tech University | 18 | 14 | -4 |
| Louisville | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michigan | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| Alabama | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Missouri | 0 | 12 | 12 |
| Florida State | 0 | 10 | 10 |
| Ohio State | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SMU | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas A&M | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Arizona | 14 | 2 | -12 |
| North Carolina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Over/under 800 free relay
| a team | Psychological | finals | Teams vs. seeds |
| Cal | 30 | 40 | 10 |
| Florida | 34 | 30 | -4 |
| Arizona State | 40 | 34 | -6 |
| Indiana | 22 | 26 | 4 |
| North Carolina State | 24 | 18 | -6 |
| Texas | 12 | 32 | 20 |
| Stanford | 28 | 22 | -6 |
| Georgia | 32 | 28 | -4 |
| Reddish brown | 18 | 8 | -10 |
| Tennessee | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Virginia Tech University | 8 | 14 | 6 |
| Louisville | 26 | 24 | -2 |
| Michigan | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| Alabama | 14 | 12 | -2 |
| Missouri | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Florida State | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ohio State | 10 | 6 | -4 |
| SMU | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Texas A&M | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arizona | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| North Carolina | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Team expectations after the first day (no diving)
| a team | Actual day 1 | The second psychological day | The third psychological day | The fourth psychological day | Expected result | vs. psychological |
| Arizona State | 68 | 140 | 139 | 181 | 528 | -12 |
| Florida | 70 | 81 | 150 | 126 | 427 | 2 |
| Cal | 70 | 58 | 71 | 89 | 288 | 8 |
| North Carolina State | 50 | 60 | 76 | 87 | 273 | -2 |
| Tennessee | 28 | 64 | 50 | 72 | 214 | -2 |
| Indiana | 52 | 4 | 61 | 78 | 195 | 4 |
| Georgia | 34 | 25 | 56 | 49 | 164 | -8 |
| Virginia Tech University | 28 | 42 | 41 | 51 | 162 | 2 |
| Stanford | 46 | 33 | 47 | 34 | 160 | 10 |
| Texas | 50 | 30 | 36 | 24 | 140 | 14 |
| Notre Dame | 0 | 40 | 35 | 58 | 133 | -8 |
| Michigan | 18 | 21 | 34 | 36 | 109 | 6 |
| Reddish brown | 30 | 25 | 23 | 29 | 107 | -10 |
| Alabama | 12 | 9 | 23 | 22 | 66 | -2 |
| Virginia | 0 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 60 | 0 |
| Texas A&M | 4 | 9 | 26 | 15 | 54 | 4 |
| wisconsin | 0 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 0 |
| Louisville | 24 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 48 | -2 |
| Ohio State | 6 | 0 | 9 | 28 | 43 | -4 |
| Pennsylvania | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -12 |
| University of Southern California | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| Florida State | 10 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 10 |
| Missouri | 12 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 12 |
| SMU | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 2 |
| B.U | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 0 |
| Minnesota | 0 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 0 |
| Arizona | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 10 | -12 |
| Georgia Tech | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| brown | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| Kentucky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| LSU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 |
| North Carolina | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
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